Smoothed Collocation

Smoothed collocation, also referred to as the two-stage method, allows for fitting differential equations to time series data without relying on a numerical differential equation solver by building a smoothed collocating polynomial and using this to estimate the true (u',u) pairs, at which point u'-f(u,p,t) can be directly estimated as a loss to determine the correct parameters p. This method can be extremely fast and robust to noise, though, because it does not accumulate through time, is not as exact as other methods.

u′,u = collocate_data(data,tpoints,kernel=SigmoidKernel())
u′,u = collocate_data(data,tpoints,tpoints_sample,interp,args...)

Computes a non-parametrically smoothed estimate of u' and u given the data, where each column is a snapshot of the timeseries at tpoints[i].

For kernels, the following exist:

  • EpanechnikovKernel
  • UniformKernel
  • TriangularKernel
  • QuarticKernel
  • TriweightKernel
  • TricubeKernel
  • GaussianKernel
  • CosineKernel
  • LogisticKernel
  • SigmoidKernel
  • SilvermanKernel

Additionally, we can use interpolation methods from DataInterpolations.jl to generate data from intermediate timesteps. In this case, pass any of the methods like QuadraticInterpolation as interp, and the timestamps to sample from as tpoints_sample.


Kernel Choice

Note that the kernel choices of DataInterpolations.jl, such as CubicSpline(), are exact, i.e. go through the data points, while the smoothed kernels are regression splines. Thus CubicSpline() is preferred if the data is not too noisy or is relatively sparse. If data is sparse and very noisy, a BSpline() can be the best regression spline, otherwise one of the other kernels such as as EpanechnikovKernel.

Non-Allocating Forward-Mode L2 Collocation Loss

The following is an example of a loss function over the collocation that is non-allocating and compatible with forward-mode automatic differentiation:

using PreallocationTools
du = PreallocationTools.dualcache(similar(prob.u0))
preview_est_sol = [@view estimated_solution[:,i] for i in 1:size(estimated_solution,2)]
preview_est_deriv = [@view estimated_derivative[:,i] for i in 1:size(estimated_solution,2)]

function construct_iip_cost_function(f,du,preview_est_sol,preview_est_deriv,tpoints)
  function (p)
      _du = PreallocationTools.get_tmp(du,p)
      vecdu = vec(_du)
      cost = zero(first(p))
      for i in 1:length(preview_est_sol)
        est_sol = preview_est_sol[i]
        vecdu .= vec(preview_est_deriv[i]) .- vec(_du)
        cost += sum(abs2,vecdu)
cost_function = construct_iip_cost_function(f,du,preview_est_sol,preview_est_deriv,tpoints)